Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Murom

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.78	Watch
	1.69	3.31	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	4.49 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
52.8%

Draw
26.7%

Murom
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

29.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Volga Ulyanovsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Murom is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Murom has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Volga Ulyanovsk carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Ulyanovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
04.10.26	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTW
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
27.09.26	Murom - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Murom	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Murom - Torpedo Vladimir	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Murom - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
30.08.26	Murom - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
05.10.24	Murom - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2
10.08.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Murom	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
13.08.23	Murom - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0

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