The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volgar Astrakhan 33.6%
Draw 29.4%
Rodina Moscow 2 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
29.6%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
30.2%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Mamin A. (G) 47. Agaev A. 69. Anosov D. 17. Lesnikov D. 10. Morozov V. 7. Pavlishin A. 26. Pelikh D. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 8. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 58. Zuev I. (C)
33. Stenyakin A. (G) 44. Baranov P. 52. Danilov T. 69. Khezhev A. 98. Khorin A. A. 92. Knyazev G. 24. Maltsev M. 89. Maltsev R. (C) 74. Mushkarin D. 76. Savin N. 41. Ushakov E.
Substitutes
34. Dmitriev O. 13. Ivanov D. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 62. Kovalevskiy E. 11. Nosov A. 14. Radjabov A. 5. Strelnik M. 1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 25. Yuran A.
14. Andreev I. 22. Beskibalniy A. 30. Danilin M. 59. Gerdt A. 2. Gorbachev I. 27. Larionov K. 81. Manukyan V. 70. Samko V. 79. Svintsov D. 35. Tarasov R. (G) 19. Tikhonov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Agaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agaev A. ↓, Kovalevskiy E. ↑,
46', Knyazev G. ↓, Svintsov D. ↑,
50', Savin N. ↓, Tikhonov D. ↑,
63', Lesnikov D. ↓, Dmitriev O. ↑,
63', Pelikh D. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
64', Khorin A. A. ↓, Manukyan V. ↑,
65', Ushakov E. ↓, Samko V. ↑,
67', Dmitriev O. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Svintsov D. ⚽,
76', Baranov P. 🟨,
81', Petrovskiy Y. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
81', Morozov V. ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
82', Maltsev M. ↓, Andreev I. ↑,
88', Samko V. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
Recent performances by Volgar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rodina 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rodina 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Volgar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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Mamin A. (G) 
Radjabov A. 
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