FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11
Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday
Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)
Kaluga
Volgar Astrakhan
1
X
2
2.42
3.14
2.62
3.5
3.25
1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.96 ↑ (2.4)
3.2 ↑ (3.13)
2.26 ↓ (2.67)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaluga 30.9%
Draw 28.6%
Volgar Astrakhan 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.8%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
27.9%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaluga's form might have worsened.
Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volgar Astrakhan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaluga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volgar Astrakhan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kaluga - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shakerov R. (G) 18. Ivanushkin L. 5. Konovalov V. 47. Kravtsov Z. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A. 91. Lukinykh E. 17. Matyushenko I. (C) 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 8. Yugaldin D.
45. Ermakov V. (G) 13. Ivanov D. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 57. Krotov V. (C) 17. Lesnikov D. 7. Pavlishin A. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 20. Poluboyarinov D. 91. Pomalyuk A. 28. Proshkin E. 67. Volkov K.
Substitutes
7. Akimov E. 77. Balashov K. 23. Boldyrev B. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 10. Grishchenko I. 12. Lipaev E. 9. Sukhanov I. 15. Yusupkhodzhaev A.
9. Adaev V. 34. Dmitriev O. 24. Morozov V. 11. Nasibov M. 5. Strelnik M. 47. Umarov I. 1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 25. Yuran A. 58. Zuev I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Yugaldin D. ⚽,
16', Kravtsov Z. ↓, Chibisov S. ↑,
21', 1 - 1, Kolesnichenko K. ⚽,
25', Petrovskiy Y. 🟨,
26', 2 - 1, Matyushenko I. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 2 - 2, Pomalyuk A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Volkov K. ↓, Umarov I. ↑,
64', Poluboyarinov D. ↓, Dmitriev O. ↑,
64', Lesnikov D. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Kolesnichenko K. ⚽,
72', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Akimov E. ↑,
72', Matyushenko I. ↓, Grishchenko I. ↑,
73', Kuzmin A. ↓, Daliev D. ↑,
75', Krotov V. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
75', Kolesnichenko K. ↓, Strelnik M. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Sokolov I. ⚽,
81', Yugaldin D. ↓, Boldyrev B. ↑,
86', Akimov E. 🟥,
90+7', Morozov V. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
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Shakerov R. (G) 
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