Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Volna Kovernino		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	3.65
	1.78	3.35	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Kovernino
50.1%

Draw
26.8%

Ryazan
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Volna Kovernino - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Popov P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Prokurorov A. ⚽,
69', (Penalty Awarded),
85', 0 - 2, Obryvkov S. ⚽,
90', Ragulkin E. 🟥,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 3rd).

Volna Kovernino arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Ryazan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ryazan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Ryazan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Volna Kovernino carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Volna Kovernino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	26	20	2	4	50:17	33	62
3	Ryazan	26	15	8	3	47:15	32	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.09.26	Rotor 2 - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Kvant Obninsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.09.26	Salyut Belgorod - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Oryol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.09.26	Ryazan - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ryazan - Rotor 2	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Ryazan - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.09.26	Kvant Obninsk - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Ryazan - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Ryazan - Volna Kovernino	0:1

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