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Current Win Probability
Ryazan 19.4%
Draw 26.3%
Spartak Kostroma 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
28.9%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
26.5%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
The ML Model estimate for Ryazan aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Sangare D. (G) 18. Barkov A. 87. Evgenjev E. 7. Khabibov A. 25. Khokhlov D. 58. Mishutin M. 77. Nasyrov I. 15. Petrukhin R. 11. Pogrebnev N. 76. Prokurorov A. 44. Shishkov R.
50. Shamov E. (G) 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 73. Kirakosyan D. 7. Malyarov K. 6. Mohammadi N. 96. Mokhammad A. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
1. Avdeev K. 17. Avdyukhin S. 8. Borovitskiy A. 21. Kotov A. 95. Lee-Sa D. 10. Obryvkov S. 4. Perfilov D. 13. Zhuzhnev N. (G)
3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 17. Kaptilovich D. 82. Nikiforenko O. 20. Romanov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Zhilmostnykh D. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Rubtsov I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Chervyakov R. 🟨,
57', Ghurtskaia D. 🟨,
57', Khokhlov D. ↓, Borovitskiy A. ↑,
68', Nikiforov M. ↓, Nikiforenko O. ↑,
68', Rubtsov I. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
70', Barkov A. 🟨,
72', Barkov A. ↓, Kotov A. ↑,
72', Pogrebnev N. ↓, Obryvkov S. ↑,
78', Demchenko N. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
78', Ghurtskaia D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
87', Chervyakov R. ↓, Romanov M. ↑,
90+1', Mishutin M. ↓, Avdyukhin S. ↑,
Preview
Ryazan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Spartak Kostroma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Spartak Kostroma is the team to beat.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.