Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Volna Stadium (Pinsk)


	Volna Pinsk		SKA-1938

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.20
	2.50	3.65	2.10
	2.47	3.78	2.21	Watch
	2.80	4.20	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.51)	3.85 ↑ (3.77)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Volna Pinsk
34.7%

Draw
23.1%

SKA-1938
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

23.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

22.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Volna Pinsk - SKA 1938 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 91. Matyash D. 97. Oreshkevich J. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 33. Sedro I. 21. Susha A. 8. Vlasov A.	1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 18. Egiptsev F. 22. Guz A. 80. Knyshev N. 21. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 6. Prigodich V. (C) 4. Royko D. 98. Slivin A. 23. Yaskevich M.
Substitutes
62. Baluk S. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 25. Kovsh K. 4. Kuradovets A. 77. Nikoporenok E. 9. Nizhnik D. 22. Samuylik A. 6. Tarabesh I. 11. Tkachik D.	13. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 20. Kholyusev A. 26. Kontsovoy T. 8. Lukashenko E. 5. Medvedev A. 7. Nikiforenko M. 77. Parmonov K. 27. Silkin R. 16. Yunusov A. 11. Zhlobich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Korytko M. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Slivin A. ⚽,
38', Oreshkevich J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volna Pinsk won 1.

Volna Pinsk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

SKA-1938 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Volna Pinsk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Volna Pinsk has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volna Pinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
11	Volna Pinsk	27	10	4	13	40:50	-10	34

Last Results with these Odds

Volna Pinsk - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.42%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.09.26	Slutsk - Volna Pinsk	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Volna Pinsk - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ostrovets - Volna Pinsk	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slonim - Volna Pinsk	3:0 ✺
10.08.26	Volna Pinsk - Uni X Labs Minsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT
- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.09.26	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-1938 - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Osipovichi - SKA-1938	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	SKA-1938 - Lida	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	3:1
20.09.24	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	3:2
20.10.18	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	2:1
23.06.18	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	0:2
28.10.17	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	1:1
01.07.17	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	2:0

Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide