Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk)


	SKA-1938		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.90	3.50
	1.74	3.90	3.70
	1.57	4.30	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	3.73 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-1938
53.6%

Draw
22.3%

Smorgon
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-1938 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 18. Egiptsev F. 22. Guz A. 80. Knyshev N. 21. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 5. Medvedev A. 6. Prigodich V. (C) 4. Royko D. 98. Slivin A.	1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 25. Yarotskiy Y.
Substitutes
3. Fedorovich F. 17. Kartoev A. 13. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 20. Kholyusev A. 8. Lukashenko E. 7. Nikiforenko M. 77. Parmonov K. 27. Silkin R. 23. Yaskevich M. 16. Yunusov A.	22. Galko V. 18. Gribovskiy R. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 47. Kukhley R. 16. Perov D. (G) 33. Poznyak A. 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Dukso M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', Kartoev A. 🟥,
89', 0 - 2, Galko V. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-1938 won 2.

SKA-1938 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Smorgon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SKA-1938 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SKA-1938 is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, SKA-1938 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-1938 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-1938 - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Osipovichi - SKA-1938	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	SKA-1938 - Lida	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Soligorsk - SKA-1938	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.26	Smorgon - Slutsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Smorgon	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Smorgon - Ostrovets	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Smorgon - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.05.26	Smorgon - SKA-1938	0:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
27.10.23	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	2:4
03.06.23	Smorgon - SKA-1938	1:0
17.07.21	Smorgon - SKA-1938	2:2
13.03.21	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	3:0
Club Friendly
19.02.20	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	4:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.10.18	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	3:0

SKA-1938 - Smorgon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide