Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Vorskla Poltava		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	11.5	5.5	1.22
	9.71	5.6	1.2
	11	4.57	1.29	Watch
	13	5	1.2
	10.7	6	1.2
	6.9	4.1	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.47 ↑ (6.9)	5.13 ↑ (4.1)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
8.7%

Draw
17.8%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.6%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

21.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livyi Bereh Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livyi Bereh Kyiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 52. Krokhmal N. 22. Potskhveria I. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A.	12. Zhmurko R. (G) 25. Kosovskyi S. 5. Samar V. (C) 7. Shastal D. 6. Sidnney 2. Sokolov O. 22. Tishchenko V. 15. Voloshyn V. 17. Vorobchak N. 29. Wendell 97. Yakymiv A.
Substitutes
77. Chidomere A. 51. Grechko D. (G) 10. Mosiyenko T. 15. Piddubniy I. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.	27. Astakhov E. 90. Bonsu N. 18. Dedukh R. 23. Domolega O. (G) 11. Galoyan S. 9. Gunichev Y. 37. Heresh R. 28. Kalinin O. 4. Kotukha I. 13. Kovalenko I. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 21. Voloshyn N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Recent form of Vorskla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Livyi Bereh is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vorskla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Livyi Bereh is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vorskla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vorskla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.04.26	Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	2:0
Ukrainian Premier League
13.12.24	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1
09.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3

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