Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 25

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Chernihiv Arena (Chernihiv)


	Chernihiv		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.35
	2.13	2.93	3.35
	1.74	3.26	4.86	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.4
	2.14	2.93	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
44.2%

Draw
30.9%

Vorskla Poltava
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Vorskla Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 12. Kartushov Y. 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 95. Shapoval V. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 23. Zenchenko O.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 22. Potskhveria I. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A.
Substitutes
21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 17. Chaban V. 20. Fateev D. 2. Galstyan E. 99. Gerasimenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 30. Teplyakov N.	8. Gorbunov V. 51. Grechko D. (G) 52. Krokhmal N. 10. Mosiyenko T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Potskhveria I. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Baydal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 2, Koydan V. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation))

Recent performances by Chernihiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vorskla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vorskla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chernihiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernihiv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Cup
22.04.26	Kharkiv - Chernihiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chernihiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTWLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vorskla Poltava - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chernihiv	0:1

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