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Current Win Probability
Vratimov 63.7%
Draw 20%
Pustá Polom 16.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.8%
20.4%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
19.2%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vratimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vratimov's performance.
Pustá Polom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pustá Polom might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vratimov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pustá Polom than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 11th).
Vratimov has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Pustá Polom has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Vratimov enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vratimov has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:5 (averaging 2.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vratimov against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).