Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Nove Mesto (Nove Mesto na Morave)


	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.95	1.45
	6.09	4.19	1.45
	5.93	4.44	1.43
	6	3.75	1.44
	6.51	4.1	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (5.66)	4.09 ↑ (4.05)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě
14.9%

Draw
22.2%

Fotbal Třinec
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.3%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smida P. (C) 9. Bouchner D. 15. Duba T. 21. Duda P. 4. Dvorak M. 14. Jicha M. 7. Necas F. 11. Novak M. 17. Pulkrabek M. 12. Usman I. 5. Vesely F.	1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 20. Kowalczyk T. 23. Krakovcik M. 21. Machuca O. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M.
Substitutes
3. Baca D. 13. Bousek A. 19. Hudak K. 6. Labaran Khalid B. 29. Micka J. (G) 18. Novotny J. 8. Sytar P.	22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 5. Bednar M. 6. Konderla J. 7. Nguyen A. 11. Zdrazil L. 12. Zinhasovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Dedic R. ⚽, Machuca O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kowalczyk T. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
62', Samiec M. ↓, Zinhasovic N. ↑,
62', Pulkrabek M. ↓, Labaran Khalid B. ↑,
69', Jicha M. ↓, Sytar P. ↑,
69', Bouchner D. ↓, Hudak K. ↑,
78', Machuca O. 🟨,
80', Vesely F. ↓, Baca D. ↑,
80', Charles S. ↓, Zdrazil L. ↑,
80', Machuca O. ↓, Agbo C. ↑,
80', Novak M. ↓, Novotny J. ↑,
89', Zinhasovic N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Novotny J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ChNL).

In recent matches, Vrchovina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Třinec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Třinec is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vrchovina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nove Mesto na Morave	11	4	2	5	13:20	-7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFK Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě
Czech MSFL
29.04.26	Karviná B - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Blansko - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Vitkovice	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Uničov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTTL
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
29.04.26	Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fotbal Třinec - Vsetín	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Zbrojovka Brno B - Fotbal Třinec	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Fotbal Třinec - Hranice	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Karviná B - Fotbal Třinec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
27.09.25	Fotbal Třinec - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	7:2

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