Match Info

SERBIA: SERBIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Vršac		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.21	3.63
	1.88	3.21	3.63
	2.38	3.1	2.6
	1.92	3.3	3.88
	1.92	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (3.04)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.54 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vršac
46%

Draw
28.3%

Napredak Kruševac
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vršac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vršac's performance.

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napredak Kruševac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vršac than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vršac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Vršac - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vršac will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Napredak will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vršac: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vršac will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vršac
Serbian Prva Liga
03.12.23	Vršac - Mladost Novi Sad	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Smederevo - Vršac	1:0 ✺
22.11.23	Jedinstvo Ub - Vršac	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Vršac - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Kolubara - Vršac	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
03.12.23	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Železničar Pančevo - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
22.11.23	Napredak Kruševac - Čukarički	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.11.23	Napredak Kruševac - Dubočica	4:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
11.11.23	Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW

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