Match Info

Prva NL - Round 31

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Borovo naselje (Vukovar)


	Vukovar 91		Dubrava

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.5	12
	1.2	5.5	11.5
	1.18	5.6	13
	1.19	5.95	12.14
	1.19	5.67	13.83	Watch
	1.13	6.15	16.5
	1.18	5.6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)	5.71 ↑ (4)	13.14 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
77.2%

Draw
15.9%

Dubrava
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

22.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

21.2%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vukovar 91's performance.

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vukovar 91 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Vukovar 91 - Dubrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Mandic I. (G) 20. Cabrajic K. 15. Durkovic N. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Jukic T. 7. Knoll T. 16. Pavicic K. 99. Serra D. 11. Simmonds K. 26. Tabinas P. 34. Tadic M.	30. Cundekovic J. (G) 11. Brajkovic R. 23. Dominic I. 9. Firmino A. 3. Jakovljevic N. 10. Janjis R. 26. Jiakponna H. 17. Juranovic D. 5. Ljubanovic T. 6. Palic T. 14. Vrdoljak M.
Substitutes
22. Andacic M. 6. Biljan J. 1. Bulat M. (G) 21. Garic N. 27. Henning R. 29. Pelko V. 5. Perkovic R. 30. Pilj M. 19. Trujillo M.	2. Palic J. 19. Rauzan J. 1. Sarkanj T. (G) 24. Sugic M. 8. Tunjic M. 21. Validzic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Firmino A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Firmino A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Durkovic N. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
61', Cabrajic K. ↓, Biljan J. ↑,
63', Brajkovic R. ↓, Tunjic M. ↑,
63', Jakovljevic N. ↓, Rauzan J. ↑,
69', Juranovic D. ↓, Palic J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Knoll T. ⚽,
80', Serra D. ↓, Trujillo M. ↑,
80', Janjis R. ↓, Sugic M. ↑,
80', Firmino A. ↓, Validzic J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Pelko V. ⚽,
89', Pavicic K. 🟨,
90+3', Rauzan J. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez R. ↓, Andacic M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 4.

Vukovar 91 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Dubrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dubrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vukovar 91 is the clear favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian Prva NL
10.05.25	Orijent - Vukovar 91	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	4:2 ✺
25.04.25	Zrinski Osječko - Vukovar 91	0:6 ✺
18.04.25	Vukovar 91 - Dugopolje	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Jarun Zagreb - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWT
- NK Dubrava
Croatian Prva NL
11.05.25	Dubrava - Opatija	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Sesvete - Dubrava	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Dubrava - Croatia Zmijavci	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Dubrava - Orijent	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Cibalia - Dubrava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
25.11.24	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	1:0
13.09.24	Dubrava - Vukovar 91	1:2
11.05.24	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	3:1
25.02.24	Dubrava - Vukovar 91	1:2
30.09.23	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	2:2
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	4:2
Croatian Prva NL
06.05.23	Vukovar 91 - Dubrava	1:1

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