Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Round 11

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Borovo naselje (Vukovar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1


	Vukovar 91		Orijent

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	5.75
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.49	3.79	6
	1.68	3.49	4.86	Watch
	1.63	3.38	5.28
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)	5.38 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
57.6%

Draw
25.5%

Orijent
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.8%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Orijent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vukovar 91, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Vukovar 91 - Orijent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Mandic I. (G) 22. Andacic M. 9. Boncina L. 21. Garic N. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Jukic T. 16. Pavicic K. 29. Pelko V. 26. Tabinas P. 34. Tadic M. 17. Vuko N.	1. Curac D. (G) 3. Bodetic N. 7. Kovacevic B. 23. Li S. 8. Medojevic N. 22. Milanovic A. 14. Muminovic S. 28. Tadejevic M. 10. Valjan K. 21. Zrilic F. 15. Zuliani N.
Substitutes
6. Biljan J. 23. Bungic K. 15. Durkovic N. 8. Horvat M. 13. Majnovics M. 1. Marijanovic I. (G) 7. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 5. Perkovic R. 48. Serra D. 11. Simmonds K. 19. Trujillo M.	19. Anusic D. 29. Bagadur R. 30. Bazdaric V. (G) 2. Braut F. 9. Bubnjar A. 25. Galesic A. 17. Monjac M. 4. Prpic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Vuko N. 🟨,
29', Tadejevic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Faal B. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ HNL and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vukovar 91 won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Orijent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vukovar 91 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vukovar 91 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Vukovar 91 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian Prva NL
16.10.24	Vukovar 91 - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Croatia Zmijavci - Vukovar 91	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Jarun Zagreb - Vukovar 91	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Rudeš - Vukovar 91	0:1 ✺
17.09.24	Vukovar 91 - Opatija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTWT
- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
12.10.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Bijelo Brdo - Orijent	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Orijent - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Opatija - Orijent	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Orijent - Dubrava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
27.03.24	Orijent - Vukovar 91	0:0
11.11.23	Vukovar 91 - Orijent	2:0
26.08.23	Orijent - Vukovar 91	0:1
27.05.23	Vukovar 91 - Orijent	2:0
18.03.23	Orijent - Vukovar 91	0:0
22.10.22	Vukovar 91 - Orijent	4:0

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