The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vänersborgs FK 23.2%
Draw 24.3%
Skara 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
24.8%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
24.3%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vänersborgs FK's form might have worsened.
Skara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skara than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Vänersborgs FK - Skara Predictions
Users Predictions:
Skara will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Vänersborgs FK have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Skara is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Skara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Skara might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Vänersborgs FK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Skara
24
16
5
3
51:26
25
53
8
Vanersborgs FK
24
8
4
12
30:40
-10
28
Last Results with these Odds
Vänersborgs FK - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.