Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 8

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Vänersborgs FK		Karlstad II

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.45	2.48
	2.54	3.33	2.54
	2.46	3.38	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs FK
36.5%

Draw
26.9%

Karlstad II
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Karlstad II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Vänersborgs FK - Karlstad II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

Vänersborgs FK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlstad II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs FK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 4:2).

Including home match between the teams, Vänersborgs FK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Vanersborgs FK	25	8	5	12	33:43	-10	29
13	Karlstad II ✔	24	2	7	15	24:47	-23	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
10.05.26	Tord - Vänersborgs FK	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Vänersborgs IF	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTWT
- IF Karlstad II
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
08.05.26	Karlstad II - Kumla	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Stenungsunds - Karlstad II	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Karlstad II - Husqvarna	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Skara - Karlstad II	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Vänersborgs IF - Karlstad II	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
22.08.21	Vänersborgs FK - Karlstad II	3:1
31.07.21	Karlstad II - Vänersborgs FK	2:4
27.09.20	Karlstad II - Vänersborgs FK	3:5

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