Match Info

Superettan - Round 13

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Hitachi Energy Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Västerås SK		Brage

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.6
				Watch
	1.72	3.94	4.99
				Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.75
	1.6	4.2	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.96 ↓ (4.07)	4.83 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
57.1%

Draw
23.6%

Brage
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

25.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Västerås SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Västerås SK - Brage Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Brage (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Västerås SK will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Västerås SK will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Västerås SK (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brage (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. (C) 33. Vilar B. 21. Wernersson V. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Gunnarsson K. 19. Magnusson J. 44. Larsson M. 10. Ring J. 27. Bibout A. 17. Axel T.	1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 3. Walemark T. 4. Persson M. 11. Lundin A. 19. Brkic H. 10. Berggren G. 20. Nordh G. 9. Trpcevski F. 33. Muhsin A.
Substitutes
3. Abadid L. 25. Bernardini A. (G) 13. Engstrom H. 11. Gefvert S. 42. Hartzell T. 24. Johansson J. 7. Ribeiro P.	25. Almquist J. 23. Astrand John N. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 5. Konjuhi L. 15. Stark O. 7. Tot Wikstrom E.
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Trpcevski F. ⚽, Ostberg N. (A),
25', Lundin A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Magnusson J. ⚽, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Magnusson J. ⚽, Gunnarsson K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Larsson M. ↓, Hartzell T. ↑,
54', Berggren G. 🟨,
68', Magnusson H. ↓, Abadid L. ↑,
68', Wernersson V. ↓, Gefvert S. ↑,
74', Persson M. ↓, Astrand John N. ↑,
77', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Engstrom H. ↑,
79', Ostberg N. ↓, Tot Wikstrom E. ↑,
87', Walemark T. 🟨,
87', Vilar B. 🟨,
88', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
90+6', Nordh G. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 2, Muhsin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Västerås SK is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Västerås SK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
15.06.25	Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Oddevold - Västerås SK	1:5 ✺
21.05.25	Västerås SK - Östersund	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
15.06.25	Brage - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
30.05.25	Örebro - Brage	3:3 ✺
26.05.25	Brage - Utsikten	2:2 ✺
22.05.25	Sundsvall - Brage	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Brage - Oddevold	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.09.23	Västerås SK - Brage	0:0
01.04.23	Brage - Västerås SK	1:2
29.10.22	Brage - Västerås SK	0:2
03.07.22	Västerås SK - Brage	1:3
21.08.21	Brage - Västerås SK	3:3
31.05.21	Västerås SK - Brage	2:2
07.11.20	Brage - Västerås SK	0:3

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