Match Info

Superettan - Round 21

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Hitachi Energy Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Västerås SK		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.65	3.8	4.5
	1.6	4.05	4.95
	1.6	4.21	5.24
	1.20	6.39	12.50	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.4
	1.63	4.1	4.91	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	4.23 ↑ (4.23)	5.67 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
60.6%

Draw
22.6%

Helsingborg
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

22.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

21.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Västerås SK's performance.

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helsingborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helsingborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Västerås SK - Helsingborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Västerås SK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Helsingborg (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Västerås SK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Helsingborg (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 10. Ring J. 8. Diagne M. 44. Larsson M. 5. Gunnarsson K. 27. Diallo M. 17. Axel T.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 23. Westerlund W. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. 18. Ljung C. 16. Johansson A.
Substitutes
25. Bernardini A. (G) 4. Bonde P. 24. Johansson J. 6. Johansson S. 14. Karlsson J. 9. Ladefoged M. 7. Ribeiro P.	29. Aga O. 9. Akimey A. 20. Amer B. 6. Asoma S. 15. Gorefalt T. 31. Nordin A. 30. Radahl E. (G)
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽, Diallo M. (A),
30', Nilsson W. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽, Gefvert S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Ljung C. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
59', Westerlund W. ↓, Asoma S. ↑,
63', Diallo M. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
66', Asoma S. 🟨,
75', Larsson M. 🟨,
79', Bengtsson S. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
79', Johansson A. ↓, Amer B. ↑,
83', Magnusson H. ↓, Bonde P. ↑,
85', Asoma S. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Gunnarsson K. ⚽, Gefvert S. (A),
89', Gefvert S. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
89', Diagne M. ↓, Johansson S. ↑,
89', Larsson M. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Gunnarsson K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 2.

Västerås SK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Helsingborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Västerås SK is a strong favorite.

We predict that Västerås SK will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Västerås SK won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Västerås SK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
24.08.25	Västerås SK - Utsikten	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Kubikensborgs - Västerås SK	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Brage - Västerås SK	3:1 ✺
12.08.25	Västerås SK - Örebro	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Landskrona - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
26.08.25	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Helsingborg - Utsikten	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Östersund - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.04.25	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	2:0
13.08.23	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	3:2
15.04.23	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	0:1
27.11.21	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	2:2
18.07.21	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	0:4
Svenska Cupen
01.03.15	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	0:4

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