Match Info

Superettan - Round 20

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, Disney+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.61	3.75	4.8
	1.65	3.95	4.65	Watch
	1.82	3.74	4.68
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.72	3.76	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)	4.6 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
54.9%

Draw
24.9%

Helsingborg
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

23.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Kalmar - Helsingborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Kalmar (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Helsingborg (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kalmar will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Helsingborg (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 23. R. Gojani (C) 20. Sosseh G. 37. Kalinauskas T. 10. Jebara C. 70. Chukwuemeka Emeka	1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 9. Akimey A. 10. Svensson M. 16. Johansson A.
Substitutes
32. Andersson C. (G) 7. Atanga I. 5. Hallberg M. 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 9. Stolt M. 19. Ylatupa S.	29. Aga O. 6. Asoma S. 15. Gorefalt T. 18. Ljung C. 31. Nordin A. 40. Wagnborg V. 23. Westerlund W.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kjellnas L. (Own goal),
23', Sosseh G. 🟨,
29', Orn B. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sosseh G. ↓, Hallberg M. ↑,
59', Chukwuemeka Emeka ↓, Stolt M. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Hallberg M. ⚽, Stolt M. (A),
72', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
72', Motaraghebjafarpour A. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
72', Akimey A. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
72', Svensson M. ↓, Asoma S. ↑,
72', Gigovic E. ↓, Aga O. ↑,
78', Mamatsashvili S. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
81', Loeper W. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
81', Kjellnas L. ↓, Ljung C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 3.

Kalmar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Helsingborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Helsingborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kalmar will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Umeå - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Kalmar - Utsikten	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Kalmar - Brage	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWT
- Helsingborg IF
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Helsingborg - Utsikten	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Östersund - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
28.07.25	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.04.25	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:5
Svenska Cupen
05.03.23	Kalmar - Helsingborg	4:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.22	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0
02.07.22	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1
09.09.20	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1
18.06.20	Kalmar - Helsingborg	4:0
30.09.19	Helsingborg - Kalmar	2:0

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