Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Vélez		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	2.56	2.97	2.35
	2.7	3.05	2.45
	2.78	3.26	2.39
	1.63	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.41)	3.43 ↓ (3.9)	3.55 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vélez
44.8%

Draw
28.1%

Cartagena B
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.1%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez's form might have worsened.

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Vélez - Cartagena B Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Cartagena B will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vélez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.01.24	Orihuela - Vélez	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vélez - El Palo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sevilla B - Vélez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWTT
- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.01.24	Cartagena B - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - Cartagena B	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Cartagena B - Linense	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cadiz CF B - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Cartagena B - Vélez	1:2
08.04.23	Vélez - Cartagena B	1:0
27.11.22	Cartagena B - Vélez	2:1

Vélez - Cartagena B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide