Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Vélez		La Unión

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	4.75	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.34	3.18	1.71
	4.47	3.36	1.56
	5.42	3.56	1.63
	4.2	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (2.09)	3.27 ↑ (3)	1.92 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
22.2%

Draw
28.8%

La Unión
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez's form might have worsened.

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Unión's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Unión, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Vélez - La Unión Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). La Unión will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Unión: 35% – 88%.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vélez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Unión has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Unión will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	Antoniano - Vélez	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Vélez - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Orihuela - Vélez	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vélez - El Palo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLW
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	La Unión - Sevilla B	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - La Unión	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	La Unión - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Linense - La Unión	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Cadiz CF B - La Unión	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.10.23	La Unión - Vélez	3:2

Vélez - La Unión: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide