Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Vélez		Marbella

	1	X	2
	3.65	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 (3.65)	3 (3)	2.04 (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
25%

Draw
30.4%

Marbella
44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.1%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vélez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Marbella have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Dago J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Gato ⚽,
44', 0 - 4, Maldonado A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 4, ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, Harper J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 6, Harper J. ⚽,
89', 2 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Vélez is Relegated to

Vélez has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marbella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	Vélez - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vélez - Racing Cartagena MM	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Linense - Vélez	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Vélez - Cadiz CF B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.04.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Marbella	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Marbella - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Betis B - Marbella	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	La Unión - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1

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