Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 29

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.25	3.98
	1.95	3.25	3.98
	1.88	3.48	3.86
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	3.82 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
47.7%

Draw
28.2%

San Roque de Lepe
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

27.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Roque de Lepe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marbella - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Punal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Dago J. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Abreu ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.24	La Unión - Marbella	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Marbella - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Antoniano - Marbella	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Marbella - Linense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWT
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.24	San Roque de Lepe - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Linense - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	San Roque de Lepe - Cadiz CF B	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Estepona - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	San Roque de Lepe - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0
23.01.16	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	0:0
05.09.15	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
18.04.15	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	2:3
30.11.14	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	0:2

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