Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Vélez		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	6
	1.45	3.85	6.75
	1.5	3.65	5.8
	1.56	3.8	6.25
	1.55	3.74	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	6.14 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
60.6%

Draw
24.5%

UD San Fernando
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Vélez - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Vélez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vélez is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	Tamaraceite - Vélez	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Vélez - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Coria - Vélez	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Vélez - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Xerez Deportivo - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTT
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	UD San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Panadería Pulido - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Mérida AD - UD San Fernando	4:1 ✺
16.03.22	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	UD San Fernando - Vélez	0:0

Vélez - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide