Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.9
	4.1	2.75	2.06
	3.6	3	1.99
	4.66	2.83	2.02
	3.9	3.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
22.7%

Draw
31.3%

Ceuta
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2%)

UD San Fernando - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

San Fernando is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceuta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.04.22	Panadería Pulido - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	UD San Fernando - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Mérida AD - UD San Fernando	4:1 ✺
16.03.22	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	3:2 ✺
13.03.22	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWLWW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.04.22	Ceuta - Tamaraceite	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Don Benito - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Ceuta - Coria	3:1 ✺
13.03.22	Cadiz CF B - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Ceuta - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.11.21	Ceuta - UD San Fernando	1:0

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