Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Vélez Sársfield		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.53
	6	3.9	1.49
	6.43	4.05	1.46
	5.28	4.53	1.49
	6	3.9	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↑ (4.55)	4.02 ↑ (3.5)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
15.8%

Draw
22.8%

Belgrano
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.6%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

25.3%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Paz A. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Reche A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2).

Recent matches Vélez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belgrano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
19.03.25	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Vélez Sársfield - San Luis	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Social Atlético Televisión - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLL
- Belgrano de Cordoba Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
20.03.25	Belgrano - Independiente	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Platense - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Social Atlético Televisión - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Belgrano - San Luis	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Belgrano - San Lorenzo de Almagro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide