Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	Víkingur Ólafsvík		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
	3.5	4	1.75
	3.85	4	1.65
	3.6	4.2	1.69
	3.87	4.51	1.76
	4	3.9	1.65
	3.84	4.4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.26)	4.17 ↓ (4.22)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Víkingur Ólafsvík
24.3%

Draw
22%

Thor Akureyri
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

21.6%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

17.8%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Víkingur Ólafsvík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Víkingur Ólafsvík than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Víkingur Ólafsvík that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thor Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Víkingur Ólafsvík - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

Víkingur Ólafsvík is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Thor is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Víkingur Ólafsvík won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Víkingur Ólafsvík won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Víkingur Ólafsvík
Icelandic Division 1
30.05.21	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Víkingur Ólafsvík	2:0 ✺
21.05.21	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Kórdrengir	1:3 ✺
14.05.21	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Afturelding	1:5 ✺
06.05.21	Fram - Víkingur Ólafsvík	4:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
01.05.21	Throttur Reykjavik - Víkingur Ólafsvík	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
28.05.21	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	2:1 ✺
21.05.21	Fram - Thor Akureyri	4:1 ✺
13.05.21	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	4:1 ✺
07.05.21	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	4:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
30.04.21	Thor Akureyri - Magni Grenivík	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
16.09.20	Thor Akureyri - Víkingur Ólafsvík	1:0
30.07.19	Thor Akureyri - Víkingur Ólafsvík	1:1
24.05.19	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Thor Akureyri	2:0
02.09.18	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Thor Akureyri	2:0
20.06.18	Thor Akureyri - Víkingur Ólafsvík	0:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.08.13	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Thor Akureyri	1:1
20.05.13	Thor Akureyri - Víkingur Ólafsvík	1:0

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