Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		Grindavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.5	5.25
	1.4	4.8	5.2
	1.43	5.09	5.4
	1.32	5.58	7.11	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.39	4.8	5.83	Watch
	1.53	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	4.78 ↑ (4.65)	5.54 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
64.4%

Draw
19.1%

Grindavik
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

19.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

18.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Grindavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavik than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Thor Akureyri - Grindavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Grindavik will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Thor (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Grindavik (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Grindavik (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 9. Victor R.	1. Niemela M. (G) 14. Eysteinsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 23. Gudmundsson S. 21. Gunnarsson R. 11. Hermannsson B. 16. Nieblas D. 9. Robertsson A. (C) 26. Runarsson E. 4. Sidoel D. 10. Sigurdsson I.
Substitutes
26. Davidsson D. 17. Gislason F. 18. Ingason S. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.	25. Ellertsson M. 19. Gavilan M. 6. Hauksson V. 2. Heimisson A. 22. Olafsson L. 12. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 20. Thorfinnsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Victor R. ⚽,
64', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
64', Kristjansson K. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Eysteinsson H. (Own goal),
83', Sidoel D. ↓, Gavilan M. ↑,
83', Finnbogason A. ↓, Heimisson A. ↑,
84', Halldorsson E. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
84', Jakobsen C. ↓, Davidsson D. ↑,
86', Gudmundsson S. 🟨,
90', Victor R. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2.

Thor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grindavik is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Grindavik has had a series of home games.

In this match, Thor is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Thor won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLW
- Grindavik
Icelandic Division 1
25.07.25	Grindavik - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Grindavik - Selfoss	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Fjölnir - Grindavik	2:3 ✺
07.07.25	Grindavik - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
03.07.25	Grindavik - Njarðvík	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
24.05.25	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	2:4
14.08.24	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	3:0
08.07.24	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	2:2
16.09.23	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	3:0
12.07.23	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	1:1
27.07.22	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	1:2
20.05.22	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	1:1

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