Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 20

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Wacker Arena (Burghausen)


	Wacker Burghausen		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.75	1.98
	3.2	3.95	1.92
	3.21	3.94	1.92	Watch
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.4	3.74	1.85
	2.2	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.39)	3.75 ↓ (3.77)	2.04 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wacker Burghausen
30.1%

Draw
24.6%

Nürnberg II
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wacker Burghausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wacker Burghausen's form might have worsened.

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nürnberg II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wacker Burghausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nürnberg II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burghausen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Kusanovic T. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Kusanovic T. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Agbaje N. S. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Maboulou N. ⚽,
39', 2 - 3, Sanne T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 3 - 3, Bachschmid F. ⚽,
68', 3 - 4, Soldic M. ⚽,
90+6', Diowo T. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 0.

Burghausen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nürnberg II is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Burghausen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Burghausen has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Burghausen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burghausen	12	5	2	5	27:20	7	17
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg II - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wacker Burghausen
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.04.26	Memmingen - Wacker Burghausen	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Greuther Fürth II	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Wacker Burghausen	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Augsburg II - Wacker Burghausen	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTT
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eichstätt - Nürnberg II	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
09.08.25	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	2:1
17.05.25	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	3:3
26.10.24	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	3:1
13.04.24	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	2:1
29.09.23	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	1:4
13.05.23	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	0:1
15.10.22	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	1:0

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