Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Viktoria Aschaffenburg		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.95	1.58
	4.64	4.1	1.63
	4.62	4.2	1.58
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	4.87	3.92	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↓ (5.63)	3.95 ↓ (4.3)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
19.5%

Draw
23.1%

Nürnberg II
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.3%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.8%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Aschaffenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Nürnberg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nürnberg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Kusanovic T. ⚽,
90+2', Navrotskyi M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aschaffenburg won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Nürnberg II is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aschaffenburg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:38. (average 1.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aschaffenburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Aschaffenburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.04.26	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Unterhaching	0:3 ✺
01.04.26	Vilzing - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38 WTWLW
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.04.26	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eichstätt - Nürnberg II	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Nürnberg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2
23.11.24	Nürnberg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	3:3
10.08.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II	3:1
17.03.24	Nürnberg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	4:1
01.09.23	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II	3:4
25.03.23	Nürnberg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:1
02.09.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Nürnberg II	1:0

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