Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:45	Optus Sport
Belgium	20:45	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports
Malaysia	02:45	Astro
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United Kingdom	19:45	Viaplay


	Wales		Croatia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.75	3.4	1.83
	4.75	3.4	1.88	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.78	3.44	1.87
	3.9	3.4	1.95
	5.25	3.54	1.89
	4.7	3.35	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.54)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	1.88 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales
20.7%

Draw
28.1%

Croatia
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wales's form might have worsened.

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Croatia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.8%	11.7%	82.5%

Wales - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: Croatia will win (85 of 103 users predict this - 82.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.19% – 89.85%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ward D. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Rodon J. 5. Mepham C. 4. Davies B. (C) 17. James J. 8. Wilson H. 15. Ampadu E. 3. Williams N. 7. Brooks D. 13. Moore K.	1. Livakovic D. (G) 22. Juranovic J. 21. Vida D. 4. Gvardiol J. 3. Barisic B. 10. Modric L. (C) 11. Brozovic M. 8. Kovacic M. 7. Majer L. 18. Musa P. 14. Brekalo J.
Substitutes
9. Bradshaw T. 23. Broadhead N. 11. Cullen L. 1. Hennessey W. (G) 20. James D. 21. King T. (G) 10. Levitt D. 2. Lockyer T. 19. Low J. 18. Poole R. 16. Savage C. 22. Sheehan J.	20. Beljo D. 5. Erlic M. 23. Ivusic I. (G) 12. Labrovic N. (G) 16. Moro N. 15. Pasalic M. 19. Sosa B. 2. Stanisic J. 6. Sutalo J. 13. Vlasic N.
Coaches
Page R.	Dalic Z.

Preview

Croatia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Croatia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wales won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales
Friendly
11.10.23	Wales - Gibraltar	4:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
11.09.23	Latvia - Wales	0:2 ✺
Friendly
07.09.23	Wales - South Korea	0:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
19.06.23	Turkey - Wales	2:0 ✺
16.06.23	Wales - Armenia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWTLL
- Croatia
UEFA Euro
12.10.23	Croatia - Turkey	0:1 ✺
11.09.23	Armenia - Croatia	0:1 ✺
08.09.23	Croatia - Latvia	5:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.06.23	Croatia - Spain	0:1 penalties ✺
14.06.23	Netherlands - Croatia	2:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
25.03.23	Croatia - Wales	1:1
13.10.19	Wales - Croatia	1:1
08.06.19	Croatia - Wales	2:1
FIFA World Cup
26.03.13	Wales - Croatia	1:2
16.10.12	Croatia - Wales	2:0

Wales - Croatia