Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 3

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Walton & Hersham		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.75	2.2
	2.71	3.88	2.24
	2.73	3.81	2.18
	2.78	3.6	2.18
	2.65	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.23)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)	2.2 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
33.9%

Draw
24.4%

Merthyr Town
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.7%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walton & Hersham's form might have worsened.

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walton & Hersham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Walton & Hersham - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Obeng M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Owusu N. ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, Owusu N. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Rees R. ⚽,
74', 4 - 1, Rogalski D. ⚽,
78', 5 - 1, Powell J. ⚽,
81', 5 - 2, Simpson K. ⚽,

Preview

Walton & Hersham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merthyr in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Merthyr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Walton & Hersham have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Walton & Hersham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Walton & Hersham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
13.08.24	Walton & Hersham - Marlow	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Totton - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Walton & Hersham - Croydon Athletic	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Walton & Hersham - Lewes	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Walton & Hersham - Wealdstone	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWT
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
13.08.24	Frome Town - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	6:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Merthyr Town - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Taffs Well AFC - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Taffs Well AFC - Merthyr Town	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1
25.11.23	Walton & Hersham - Merthyr Town	2:3

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