Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 12

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Wandsbeker Concordia		Rugenbergen

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	3.6
	1.72	4.5	3.64
	1.65	4.2	3.6
	1.68	4.3	3.65
	1.75	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	4.2 ↓ (4.3)	3.62 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wandsbeker Concordia
53.2%

Draw
21.7%

Rugenbergen
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

17.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wandsbeker Concordia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rugenbergen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wandsbeker Concordia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wandsbeker Concordia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rugenbergen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rugenbergen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wandsbeker Concordia won 3.

Wandsbeker Concordia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rugenbergen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wandsbeker Concordia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wandsbeker Concordia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wandsbeker Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wandsbeker TSV Concordia
German Oberliga Hamburg
01.10.23	TSV Buchholz 08 - Wandsbeker Concordia	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Wandsbeker Concordia - Paloma Hamburg	3:4 ✺
16.09.23	Düneberg - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:2 ✺
12.09.23	Wandsbeker Concordia - Süderelbe	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Halstenbek-Rellingen - Wandsbeker Concordia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT
- SV Rugenbergen
German Oberliga Hamburg
01.10.23	Rugenbergen - ETSV Hamburg	0:3 ✺
24.09.23	TSV Buchholz 08 - Rugenbergen	4:2 ✺
17.09.23	Rugenbergen - Niendorfer	1:2 ✺
12.09.23	Paloma Hamburg - Rugenbergen	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Rugenbergen - Dassendorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
12.02.23	Wandsbeker Concordia - Rugenbergen	0:1
11.09.22	Rugenbergen - Wandsbeker Concordia	0:3
01.03.20	Wandsbeker Concordia - Rugenbergen	2:2
08.09.19	Rugenbergen - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:2
23.11.18	Wandsbeker Concordia - Rugenbergen	3:1
30.03.18	Wandsbeker Concordia - Rugenbergen	3:4
23.04.16	Rugenbergen - Wandsbeker Concordia	4:2

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