Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hamburg - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Wandsbeker Concordia		Sasel

	1	X	2
	3.6	5	1.62
	3.55	5.51	1.64
	3.55	5.51	1.64
	4.07	4.66	1.61
	3.6	5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.17)	5.14 ↑ (4.76)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wandsbeker Concordia
25.2%

Draw
18%

Sasel
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

19.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

19.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wandsbeker Concordia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sasel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sasel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wandsbeker Concordia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasel than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wandsbeker Concordia won 2.

Wandsbeker Concordia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sasel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Wandsbeker Concordia have a series of guest games.

Sasel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wandsbeker Concordia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Wandsbeker Concordia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wandsbeker TSV Concordia
German Oberliga Hamburg
14.04.24	Union Tornesch - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Rugenbergen - Wandsbeker Concordia	3:0 ✺
28.03.24	Altona - Wandsbeker Concordia	6:1 ✺
22.03.24	Wandsbeker Concordia - TSV Buchholz 08	6:2 ✺
17.03.24	Paloma Hamburg - Wandsbeker Concordia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL
- TSV Sasel
German Oberliga Hamburg
14.04.24	Sasel - TSV Buchholz 08	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Paloma Hamburg - Sasel	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Niendorfer - Sasel	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Sasel - Düneberg	5:0 ✺
15.03.24	Süderelbe - Sasel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
22.10.23	Sasel - Wandsbeker Concordia	3:4
23.04.23	Sasel - Wandsbeker Concordia	3:1
28.10.22	Wandsbeker Concordia - Sasel	0:1
29.10.21	Wandsbeker Concordia - Sasel	1:2
22.08.21	Sasel - Wandsbeker Concordia	0:4
01.12.19	Wandsbeker Concordia - Sasel	1:1
04.08.19	Sasel - Wandsbeker Concordia	4:2

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