Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		Górnik 2 Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.6	2.52
	2.57	3.46	2.34
	1.68	3.82	4.37	Watch
	2.46	3.46	2.41	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	2.84 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
41.4%

Draw
25.9%

Górnik 2 Zabrze
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Niklas O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Tuliszka F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 2.

Warta Gorzów is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Górnik 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Warta Gorzów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta Gorzów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.25	Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Starowice Dolne	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLTL
- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
13.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Ślęza Wrocław	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.05.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0
26.10.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1
24.03.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:0
26.08.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:1
20.05.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:3
15.10.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:3
23.04.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1

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