Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		Ślęza Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.20
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.62	3.85	4.18
	1.64	3.93	4.36	Watch
	1.58	3.65	4.05
	1.58	3.82	4.66	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
54.7%

Draw
23.8%

Ślęza Wrocław
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rybicki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Wojcik R. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 16th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 2.

In recent outings, Warta Gorzów has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ślęza has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Warta Gorzów carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Warta Gorzów has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Warta Gorzów against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:11 goals (averaging 2.1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Warta Gorzow	11	3	5	3	11:17	-6	14
15	Sleza Wroclaw	11	3	1	7	17:26	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLW
- Ślęza Wrocław
Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Miedź Legnica 2	3:5 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczbork - Ślęza Wrocław	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Polonia Nysa - Ślęza Wrocław	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0
27.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	4:1
29.03.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0
31.08.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1
01.06.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0
11.11.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:1
27.05.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1

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