Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Warta Sieradz		Legia II

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.45
	1.45	4.11	6.43	Watch
	2.38	3.63	2.59	Watch
	2.37	3.7	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.49)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	3.48 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
45.8%

Draw
26%

Legia II
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.9%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Sieradz's performance.

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Sieradz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warta Sieradz - Legia II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Legia II (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Trubnikov O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, Mielczarek P. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Piela J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Sieradz won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Legia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Warta Sieradz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta Sieradz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Widzew Łódź II - Warta Sieradz	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.08.25	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Wasilków - Legia II	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Legia II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.03.25	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	0:2
03.08.24	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	0:1
15.05.24	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	1:0
21.10.23	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	2:1
07.05.23	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	2:3
01.10.22	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	4:1
07.04.18	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	2:1

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