Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Wasilków		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.55	2.62
	2.31	3.7	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.18)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.64 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasilków
40.1%

Draw
25.2%

Troszyn
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

24.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasilków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Mazurek A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Mazurek A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Wasilków has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Troszyn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wasilków	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wasilków - Legia II	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wasilków	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Wasilków - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWWLL
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Troszyn - Widzew Łódź II	6:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn	6:2 ✺
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Troszyn - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

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