Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN’S CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 15

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Watford		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.4
	6	4.2	1.41
	6.41	4.63	1.39
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	5.92	4.7	1.4
	6.4	4.4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↓ (7.25)	4.44 ↓ (5.25)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
14.6%

Draw
20.4%

Birmingham City LFC
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

17.4%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

17.2%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City LFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City LFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Watford - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent matches Watford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Watford have a series of guest games.

In this match Birmingham is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Watford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford LFC
English WSL 2
28.01.24	Durham - Watford	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Southampton - Watford	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.01.24	Arsenal LFC - Watford	5:1 ✺
English WSL 2
17.12.23	Watford - London City Lionesses	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
10.12.23	Southampton Womens - Watford	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLTW
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
28.01.24	Birmingham City LFC - London City Lionesses	1:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.01.24	Birmingham City LFC - West Ham	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.01.24	Burnley - Birmingham City LFC	1:3 ET ✺
English WSL 2
17.12.23	Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
10.12.23	MK Dons - Birmingham City LFC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
22.10.23	Birmingham City LFC - Watford	5:2

Watford - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide