Match Info

Women's League Cup - Round 3

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)


	Aston Villa		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	4.65
	1.51	4.28	5.46	Watch
	1.62	4.51	4.37
	1.64	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	4.26 ↑ (4)	4.57 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
58.4%

Draw
21.5%

Birmingham City LFC
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Roebuck E. (G) 14. Wilms L. 4. Patten A. 24. Deslandes O. 16. Maritz N. 21. Kendall L. 25. Taylor M. 7. Kearns M. 2. Mayling S. 17. Salmon E. 9. Daly R. (C)	24. Franch A. (G) 2. Harris M. 6. Cooke S. 18. McKenna R. 15. Holloway R. 16. Crosthwaite L. 19. Cornet C. (C) 30. Herron N. 22. Hurtre O. 91. Ji So-Yun 27. Sarri V.
Substitutes
1. D'Angelo S. (G) 23. Grant C. 20. Hanson K. 13. Hijikata M. 38. Maltby R. 18. Mullet G. 22. Sallaway L. 3. Tomas P.	32. Baker A. 23. Bance L. 10. Harrison-Murray C. 29. Louis B. 37. Mannu R. 11. McGowan T. 4. Newell L. 17. Quinn Lu. 1. Thomas L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Sarri V. ⚽, Crosthwaite L. (A),
36', Taylor M. 🟨,
39', Herron N. 🟨,
45', Hurtre O. 🟨,
45', Wilms L. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Hurtre O. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
46', Taylor M. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Sarri V. ⚽, McKenna R. (A),
59', Cornet C. ↓, Quinn Lu. ↑,
59', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Harrison-Murray C. ↑,
60', Daly R. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
60', Salmon E. ↓, Hanson K. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Patten A. ⚽, Kearns M. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Kendall L. ⚽,
77', Maritz N. ↓, Maltby R. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Maltby R. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
90+1', 3 - 3, Louis B. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Harrison-Murray C. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, Sarri V. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
16.11.25	Aston Villa - London City Lionesses	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Manchester United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Aston Villa - Everton	3:3 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Bristol City - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English WSL
12.10.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTWT
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Birmingham City LFC - Portsmouth	5:2 ✺
10.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Birmingham City LFC	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Birmingham City LFC - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Birmingham City LFC	3:0 ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City LFC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
08.05.22	Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC	0:1
14.11.21	Birmingham City LFC - Aston Villa	0:1
28.04.21	Birmingham City LFC - Aston Villa	1:1
14.11.20	Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC	0:1

Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide