The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 13.9%
Draw 20%
Leicester City 66%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.9%
24.5%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
23.8%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.
Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Watford - Leicester City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Williams N. (G) 17. Chandler M. (C) 22. Neville G. 15. Clancy A. 12. Skyers E. 19. Noble E. 7. Paul L. 24. Jones V. 18. Wilson P. 10. Poole P. 14. Gray E.
16. Keane K. (G) 2. Mayling S. (C) 15. Sherwood S. 22. Stapleton J. 12. Ale A. 24. McLoughlin O. 18. Pelgander E. 9. Pritchard P. 10. Goodwin M. 17. Nystrom P. 30. Dennis A.
Substitutes
4. Filbey A. 21. Fyfe F. 6. Greenwood H. 23. Haines C. 5. Lyon L. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 16. Muya K. 9. Perry M. 11. Teisar T.
41. Baker P. (G) 23. Bance L. 46. Bowen F. 19. Draper D. 64. King B. 7. Lehmann A. 11. Payne H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Dennis A. ⚽, McLoughlin O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', McLoughlin O. ↓, Bance L. ↑,
46', Dennis A. ↓, Lehmann A. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽, Jones V. (A),
60', Clancy A. ↓, Filbey A. ↑,
60', Gray E. ↓, Perry M. ↑,
60', Wilson P. ↓, Haines C. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Stapleton J. ⚽, Goodwin M. (A),
71', Paul L. ↓, Fyfe F. ↑,
71', Neville G. ↓, Greenwood H. ↑,
75', Filbey A. 🟨,
78', Skyers E. 🟨,
79', Mayling S. 🟨,
80', Perry M. 🟨,
81', Pelgander E. ↓, Payne H. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Poole P. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Perry M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Goodwin M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Poole P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pritchard P. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Filbey A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lehmann A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Bookmakers give the edge to Leicester for this game.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
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Williams N. (G) 
Chandler M. (C) 
Neville G. 
Clancy A. 
Paul L. 
Poole P. 
Pelgander E. 
Nystrom P. 
Lehmann A. 
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