Match Info

ENGLAND: PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT LEAGUE

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Watford U21		Barnsley U21

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.55
	2.8	4	2
	2.8	3.85	2.03
	2.34	3.67	2.79
	3.1	4	1.83
	2.31	3.62	2.73
	2.3	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.99)	3.76 ↑ (3.66)	2.35 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford U21
36.1%

Draw
24.6%

Barnsley U21
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Watford U21's performance.

Barnsley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnsley U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford U21 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Watford U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley U21 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Watford U21 - Barnsley U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Watford U21 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barnsley U21 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford U21: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 9).

Watford U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barnsley U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnsley U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barnsley U21 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford U21
English Professional Development League
31.03.23	Watford U21 - Peterborough United U21	7:0 ✺
24.03.23	Colchester United U21 - Watford U21	1:2 ✺
20.03.23	Watford U21 - Queens Park Rangers U21	1:0 ✺
14.03.23	Watford U21 - Reading U21	1:1 ✺
28.02.23	Watford U21 - Bristol City U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWTL
- Barnsley U21
English Professional Development League
04.04.23	Colchester United U21 - Barnsley U21	1:1 ✺
28.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday U21 - Barnsley U21	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Barnsley U21 - Burnley U21	3:0 ✺
03.03.23	Sheffield United U21 - Barnsley U21	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Barnsley U21 - Coventry City U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWLT

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