Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
New Zealand	15:00	DAZN New Zealand


	Wellington Olympic		Eastern Suburbs

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.70	2.35
	2.55	3.45	2.25
	2.54	3.91	2.34
	2.54	3.98	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.85	2.3
	2.61	3.86	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.81)	3.79 ↓ (4.3)	2.32 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Olympic
36.4%

Draw
24.1%

Eastern Suburbs
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

21.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Olympic's form might have worsened.

Eastern Suburbs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastern Suburbs's recent form is better than expected.

Wellington Olympic - Eastern Suburbs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 🟥,
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Wellington Olympic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Olympic has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wellington Olympic against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wellington Olympic	4	2	1	1	10:6	4	7
9	Eastern Suburbs	4	0	1	3	3:12	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
09.10.26	Auckland City - Wellington Olympic	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	Wellington Olympic - Ferrymead Bays	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:3 penalties ✺
05.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLW
- Eastern Suburbs AFC Auckland
New Zealand National League Women
03.10.26	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	2:4 ✺
New Zealand National League
25.09.26	Ferrymead Bays - Eastern Suburbs	0:0 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.25	Eastern Suburbs - Wellington Olympic	1:2 penalties ✺
26.07.25	Fencibles United - Eastern Suburbs	0:2 ✺
New Zealand National League
23.11.24	Eastern Suburbs - Western Suburbs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.25	Eastern Suburbs - Wellington Olympic	1:2 penalties
New Zealand National League
11.10.24	Wellington Olympic - Eastern Suburbs	4:1
13.10.23	Wellington Olympic - Eastern Suburbs	2:2

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