Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	22:00	DAZN Canada
New Zealand	15:00	DAZN New Zealand
Usa	22:00	DAZN USA


	Auckland City		Wellington Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	3.60
	1.75	3.55	3.7
	1.79	4.05	3.97
	1.79	4.02	3.79	Watch
	1.76	3.7	3.9
	1.73	3.62	3.92
	1.78	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)	3.77 ↓ (3.92)	3.8 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
51.8%

Draw
24.2%

Wellington Olympic
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Wellington Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Auckland City - Wellington Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland City won 3.

Auckland City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Auckland City is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Auckland City has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:19 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auckland City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:8 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Auckland City	4	3	1	0	11:4	7	10
6	Wellington Olympic	4	2	1	1	10:6	4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League Women
03.10.26	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	2:4 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
25.07.26	Fencibles United - Auckland City	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Auckland City - Takapuna	3:0 ✺
New Zealand National League
13.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:3 penalties ✺
05.12.25	Auckland City - Coastal Spirit	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
02.10.26	Wellington Olympic - Ferrymead Bays	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Olympic	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:3 penalties ✺
05.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland United - Wellington Olympic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
13.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:3 penalties
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1
04.10.24	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1
New Zealand Chatham Cup
07.09.24	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:1 penalties
OFC Champions League
15.03.24	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	3:3
08.03.24	Auckland City - Wellington Olympic	1:0
New Zealand National League
25.11.23	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	2:0

Auckland City - Wellington Olympic