Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Werder Bremen II		Holstein Kiel II

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.8	5
	1.42	4.88	5.52	Watch
	1.42	4.65	5.57
	1.48	4.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	4.78 ↓ (5.27)	5.27 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen II
63.4%

Draw
19.2%

Holstein Kiel II
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

17.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

16.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen II's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holstein Kiel II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Seidel Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Opitz L. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Opitz L. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Rocker C. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Mazzone M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder Bremen II won 3.

Recent matches Werder Bremen II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holstein Kiel II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Werder Bremen II have a series of guest games.

In this match Werder Bremen II is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Werder Bremen II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Werder Bremen II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
26.03.25	Phönix Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Todesfelde - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Meppen - Werder Bremen II	3:3 ✺
27.02.25	Werder Bremen II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLW
- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
30.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Holstein Kiel II	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Kickers Emden	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Phönix Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
02.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	1:3
19.05.23	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	0:0
12.11.22	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	2:1
14.05.22	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	2:0
20.04.22	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	0:1
30.11.19	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	3:1
11.08.19	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	5:2

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