Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Werder Bremen II		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.05	3.4
	1.86	4.02	3.31	Watch
	1.76	3.92	3.6
	1.85	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.86)	4 ↓ (4.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen II
50.3%

Draw
22.9%

St. Pauli II
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

22.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

22.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Werder Bremen II - St. Pauli II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ahlstrand E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Mbock P. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Erevbenagie P. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen II won 4.

Werder Bremen II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Pauli II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Pauli II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Werder Bremen II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen II won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder Bremen II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
15.11.25	SC Weiche-08 - Werder Bremen II	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Werder Bremen II - Altona	5:1 ✺
08.11.25	Werder Bremen II - Schöningen	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Werder Bremen II - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jeddeloh - Werder Bremen II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
09.11.25	Drochtersen Assel - St. Pauli II	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	St. Pauli II - Meppen	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lübeck - St. Pauli II	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	St. Pauli II - Altona	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Hannover II - St. Pauli II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
10.08.25	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	2:3
17.04.25	Werder Bremen II - St. Pauli II	3:1
22.09.24	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	1:5
30.11.22	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	2:1
14.08.22	Werder Bremen II - St. Pauli II	2:0
24.11.19	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	1:1
04.08.19	Werder Bremen II - St. Pauli II	2:2

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