Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 15

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	St. Pauli II		Altona

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.8	3.55
	1.81	3.81	3.88
	1.8	3.64	3.72
	1.85	3.75	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	3.7 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
50.6%

Draw
24.6%

Altona
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

23.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

22.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Altona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

St. Pauli II - Altona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
33', 1 - 0, Aigbekaen R. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Schmitz M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Duwel M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Ambrosius M. K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 2 - 3, Yilmaz D. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Tsimba-Eggers M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 2.

In recent matches, St. Pauli II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altona has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St. Pauli II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

St. Pauli II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Hannover II - St. Pauli II	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hannoverscher SC - St. Pauli II	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Schöningen - St. Pauli II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTWLL
- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Regionalliga North
11.10.25	Altona - Drochtersen Assel	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Altona	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Altona - Schöningen	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Hannover II - Altona	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	Altona - Hamburger II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.01.23	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:0
German Regionalliga North
13.02.22	St. Pauli II - Altona	1:0
03.10.21	Altona - St. Pauli II	2:2
04.10.20	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:2
08.09.19	Altona - St. Pauli II	2:1
12.05.18	St. Pauli II - Altona	2:0
12.11.17	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:5

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