Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 15Date: 20 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kilburn Sportsplex (Adelaide)
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 |
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West Adelaide |
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Croydon |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.90 |
3.75 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.88 |
3.55 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.07 |
4.05 |
2.11 |
|
 |
3.13 |
3.4 |
2.19 |
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3 |
3.4 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.01 |
3.5 |
2.07 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.65) |
3.61 ↓
(3.86) |
2.09 ↓
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
West Adelaide
30.6% | Draw
25.4% | Croydon
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Croydon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (-1%)West Adelaide - Croydon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 4, ⚽,
- 53', 3 - 4, ⚽,
- 63', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Croydon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, West Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL South Australian | | | 21.03.26 | Croydon - West Adelaide | 1:2 | | 08.07.23 | Croydon - West Adelaide | 3:1 | | 22.04.23 | West Adelaide - Croydon | 1:0 | | 20.07.19 | West Adelaide - Croydon | 1:3 | | 02.03.19 | Croydon - West Adelaide | 1:0 | | 30.06.18 | West Adelaide - Croydon | 1:1 | | 24.03.18 | Croydon - West Adelaide | 0:1 |
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