Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 7

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Seddon Fields (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Western Springs		Wellington Phoenix 2

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.55	5.3	Watch
	1.46	4.96	5.39
	1.47	4.93	5.20	Watch
	1.4	4.55	5.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.75 ↓ (4.93)	5.46 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Springs
63.8%

Draw
19.4%

Wellington Phoenix 2
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

18.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Springs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Springs than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final: Final) and 10).

Western Springs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wellington Phoenix 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Western Springs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Western Springs is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Western Springs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Including home match between the teams, Western Springs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Springs AFC
New Zealand National League
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Western Springs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTL
- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand National League
24.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
17.10.25	Auckland United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Wellington Olympic	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
22.11.24	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	5:0

Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide