Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Fraser Park (Lower Hutt)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Wellington Phoenix 2		Miramar Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.6	4.09	2.29
	2.70	3.91	2.22	Watch
	2.56	3.74	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	3.87 ↓ (3.91)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix 2
35.3%

Draw
23.7%

Miramar Rangers
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

23.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Miramar Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 3, ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Wellington Phoenix 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wellington Phoenix 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Wellington Phoenix 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand National League
17.10.25	Auckland United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Wellington Olympic	3:5 ✺
22.11.24	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLLL
- Miramar Rangers
New Zealand National League
10.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland United	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Christchurch United - Miramar Rangers	4:2 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
06.07.24	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
New Zealand National League
26.11.22	Miramar Rangers - Wellington Olympic	1:4 ✺
19.11.22	Auckland City - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
28.10.22	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	2:3

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide